Utilizing Querol-Montalvo formula to calculate religion conflict vulnerability (Study case in Surabaya City)

Abstract

The dismissal of churches in West Java, the terrorist case in Sulawesi Island, and the horrific shelling of police stations and churches in East Java are just a few examples of the numerous religious conflicts that have occurred in Indonesia in recent years. Our GPI has dropped to 1.829 as a result of these occurrences, or roughly 12 levels below 2022. In addition, the East Java Province's city, Surabaya, handled a terrorism case in 2018. However, Surabaya was listed as the tenth city with the highest tolerance rate by the SETARA Institute in 2018. The purpose of this study is to determine the parameters for a spatial-numeric analysis of the conflict vulnerability index in the city of Surabaya and to examine conflict vulnerability using this method. This work employs quantitative methods, with spatial-numeric analysis enrichen with deep literature study. This study found that Surabaya has a low-moderate IRC, which translates to minimal instances of religious conflict inside residential areas and favorable social tension. This study suggests that in order to assess the likelihood of religious conflict within a city or region, the Surabaya City Government and other government players, such as intelligence agencies, should begin using this scale.